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| Hawaii Elections 2008 Tracking Poll |
| Friday, September 19, 2008 |
| President |
First Response: 9/19/08 1:50 pm HST
Last Response: 9/19/08 5:37 pm HST
|
Number of Responses: 25.
Margin of Error: ±19.2%
|
| Barack Obama |
| (15) |
| 60.0% |
| (±19.2%) |
| John McCain |
| (6) |
| 24.0% |
| (±16.7%) |
| Undecided |
| (2) |
| 8.0% |
| (±10.6%) |
|
|
|
|
| Honolulu Mayor |
First Response: 9/19/08 1:50 pm HST
Last Response: 9/19/08 5:37 pm HST
|
Number of Responses: 23.
Margin of Error: ±19.5%
|
| Mufi Hannemann |
| (8) |
| 34.8% |
| (±19.5%) |
| Ann Kobayashi |
| (6) |
| 26.1% |
| (±17.9%) |
| Panos Prevedoures |
| (6) |
| 26.1% |
| (±17.9%) |
| One of the six others |
| (1) |
| 4.3% |
| (±8.3%) |
| Undecided |
| (0) |
| 0.0% |
| (±0.0%) |
|
|
|
|
| Rail Transit |
First Response: 9/19/08 1:50 pm HST
Last Response: 9/19/08 5:37 pm HST
|
Number of Responses: 21.
Margin of Error: ±21.4%
|
| Against Steel on Steel |
| (11) |
| 52.4% |
| (±21.4%) |
| Supports Steel on Steel |
| (8) |
| 38.1% |
| (±20.8%) |
| Undecided |
| (2) |
| 9.5% |
| (±12.6%) |
|
|
|
|
| Constitutional Convention |
First Response: 9/19/08 1:50 pm HST
Last Response: 9/19/08 5:37 pm HST
|
Number of Responses: 21.
Margin of Error: ±21.4%
|
| Against Constitutional Convention |
| (10) |
| 47.6% |
| (±21.4%) |
| Supports Constitutional Convention |
| (6) |
| 28.6% |
| (±19.3%) |
| Undecided |
| (5) |
| 23.8% |
| (±18.2%) |
|
|
|
|
| Monday, February 18, 2008 |
| First Congressional District |
First Response: 2/18/08 9:02 am HST
Last Response: 2/18/08 7:52 pm HST
|
Number of Responses: 340.
Margin of Error: ±5.3%
|
| Barack Obama |
| (196) |
| 57.6% |
| (±5.3%) |
| Hillary Clinton |
| (93) |
| 27.4% |
| (±4.7%) |
| Undecided |
| (51) |
| 15.0% |
| (±3.8%) |
|
|
|
| Second Congressional District |
First Response: 2/18/08 8:58 am HST
Last Response: 2/18/08 7:59 pm HST
|
Number of Responses: 435.
Margin of Error: ±4.6%
|
| Barack Obama |
| (264) |
| 60.7% |
| (±4.6%) |
| Hillary Clinton |
| (90) |
| 20.7% |
| (±3.8%) |
| Undecided |
| (81) |
| 18.6% |
| (±3.7%) |
|
|
|
|
|
| Wednesday, February 13, 2008 |
| First Congressional District |
First Response: 2/13/08 8:30 am HST
Last Response: 2/13/08 5:53 pm HST
|
Number of Responses: 227.
Margin of Error: ±6.5%
|
| Barack Obama |
| (122) |
| 53.7% |
| (±6.5%) |
| Hillary Clinton |
| (67) |
| 29.5% |
| (±5.9%) |
| Undecided |
| (38) |
| 16.7% |
| (±4.9%) |
|
|
|
| Second Congressional District |
First Response: 2/13/08 8:30 am HST
Last Response: 2/13/08 5:57 pm HST
|
Number of Responses: 209.
Margin of Error: ±6.4%
|
| Barack Obama |
| (137) |
| 65.6% |
| (±6.4%) |
| Undecided |
| (38) |
| 18.2% |
| (±5.2%) |
| Hillary Clinton |
| (34) |
| 16.3% |
| (±5.0%) |
|
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|
|
| Friday, February 1, 2008 |
First Response: 2/1/08 9:04 am HST
Last Response: 2/1/08 6:29 pm HST
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Number of Responses: 560. Margin of Error: ±4.1%
|
| Barack Obama |
| (274) |
| 48.9% |
| (±4.1%) |
| Undecided |
| (152) |
| 27.1% |
| (±3.7%) |
| Hillary Clinton |
| (134) |
| 23.9% |
| (±3.5%) |
|
|
| Hawaii registered voters were chosen randomly and called.
Those who answered were asked if they were registered to vote in the state of Hawaii.
Those who confirmed were asked if they plan to vote in the Democratic Party's Presidential Preference Poll on February 19th.
Those who responded affirmative were asked if they favored Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama or were undecided.
Half were asked Clinton first and the other half were asked Obama first. Questions were pre-recorded.
Participants answered by touch-tone.
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|
|
| California Poll |
First Response: Sun, Feb 3, 2008 12:37 pm PST
Last Response: Mon, Feb 4, 2008 5:20 pm PST
284 Self Identified Primary Voters.
Margins of Error: Democrats ±6.4%, Republicans ±12.4%
|
1. Democratic Primary (229)
|
| Hillary Clinton |
| (97) |
| 42.4% |
| (±6.4%) |
| Barack Obama |
| (89) |
| 38.9% |
| (±6.3%) |
| Undecided |
| (36) |
| 15.7% |
| (±4.7%) |
| Mike Gravel |
| (7) |
| 3.1% |
| (±2.2%) |
|
|
2. Republican Primary (55)
|
| Mitt Romney |
| (18) |
| 32.7% |
| (±12.4%) |
| John McCain |
| (13) |
| 23.6% |
| (±11.2%) |
| Mike Huckabee |
| (10) |
| 18.2% |
| (±10.2%) |
| Undecided |
| (10) |
| 18.2% |
| (±10.2%) |
| Ron Paul |
| (4) |
| 7.3% |
| (±6.9%) |
|
|
| California phone numbers were chosen randomly and called.
Those who answered were asked if they were registered to vote in the state of California and plan to vote in the Democratic Primary or the Republican Primary. Those responding they were voting in the Democratic Primary were asked if they were voting for Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, Mike Gravel or were undecided. Half were asked Clinton first and the other half were asked Obama first. Those responding they were voting in the Republican Primary were asked if they were voting for John McCain, Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Ron Paul or were undecided. Half were asked McCain first and the other half were asked Romney first. Questions were pre-recorded. Participants answered by touch-tone.
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|
| Hawaii News Poll |
First Response: 1/30/08 8:41 am HST
Last Response: 1/30/08 9:10 pm HST
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Number of Responses: 268. Margin of Error: ±5.9%
|
| Joe Moore |
| (115) |
| 42.9% |
| (±5.9%) |
| Kim Genaula and Keahi Tucker |
| (67) |
| 25.0% |
| (±5.2%) |
| Paula Akana and Shawn Ching |
| (47) |
| 17.5% |
| (±4.6%) |
| Stephanie Lum and Howard Dashefsky |
| (28) |
| 10.4% |
| (±3.7%) |
| Undecided |
| (11) |
| 4.1% |
| (±2.4%) |
|
|
| Hawaii telephone numbers were chosen randomly and called.
Those who answered were asked if they were familiar with the local television newscasters.
Those who responded affirmative were asked their preferred newcaster team from a list.
Questions were pre-recorded.
Participants answered by touch-tone.
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| Nevada Poll |
First Response: Wed, Jan 16, 2008 3:12 pm PST
Last Response: Sat, Jan 19, 2008 10:08 am PST
744 respondents were self identified caucus participants
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| |
| Nevada telephone numbers were chosen randomly and called.
Those who answered were asked if they were registered Nevada voters participating in either the Democratic or Republican caucus on January 19th.
If they responded that they were, they were asked which candidate they would be voting for from an alphabetical list. Questions were pre-recorded (Script).
Participants answered by touch-tone.
The following is a tally of their responses.
|
|
1. Democratic Caucus (490)
|
| Hillary Clinton |
| (215) |
| 43.9% |
| (±4.4%) |
| Barack Obama |
| (169) |
| 34.5% |
| (±4.2%) |
| Undecided |
| (61) |
| 12.4% |
| (±2.9%) |
| John Edwards |
| (35) |
| 7.1% |
| (±2.3%) |
| Dennis Kucinich |
| (8) |
| 1.6% |
| (±1.1%) |
| Mike Gravel |
| (2) |
| 0.4% |
| (±0.6%) |
|
|
2. Republican Caucus (254)
|
| Mitt Romney |
| (52) |
| 20.5% |
| (±5.0%) |
| Mike Huckabee |
| (40) |
| 15.7% |
| (±4.5%) |
| Ron Paul |
| (40) |
| 15.7% |
| (±4.5%) |
| John McCain |
| (34) |
| 13.4% |
| (±4.2%) |
| Rudy Guliani |
| (30) |
| 11.8% |
| (±4.0%) |
| Undecided |
| (30) |
| 11.8% |
| (±4.0%) |
| Fred Thompson |
| (21) |
| 8.3% |
| (±3.4%) |
| Duncan Hunter |
| (7) |
| 2.8% |
| (±2.0%) |
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|
| Hawaii Poll |
First Response: Fri, Jan 18, 2008 3:02 pm HST
Last Response: Wed, Jan 23, 2008 4:39 pm HST
326 respondents were self identified caucus participants
|
| |
| Hawaii telephone numbers are being chosen randomly and called.
Those who answer are asked if they are registered Hawaii voters. If they respond that they are,
they are asked if they will be participating in either the Democratic caucus on February 19th
or the Republican caucus between January 25 and February 7th.
If they respond that they are, they are asked which candidate they will be voting for from an alphabetical list.
Questions were pre-recorded (Script).
Participants answer by touch-tone.
The following is a tally of their responses.
|
|
1. Democratic Caucus (230)
|
| Barack Obama |
| (112) |
| 48.7% |
| (±6.5%) |
| Hillary Clinton |
| (61) |
| 26.5% |
| (±5.7%) |
| Undecided |
| (42) |
| 18.3% |
| (±5.0%) |
| John Edwards |
| (10) |
| 4.3% |
| (±2.6%) |
| Dennis Kucinich |
| (5) |
| 2.2% |
| (±1.9%) |
|
|
2. Republican Caucus (96)
|
| Undecided |
| (24) |
| 25.0% |
| (±8.7%) |
| John McCain |
| (23) |
| 24.0% |
| (±8.5%) |
| Mitt Romney |
| (15) |
| 15.6% |
| (±7.3%) |
| Rudy Guliani |
| (11) |
| 11.5% |
| (±6.4%) |
| Mike Huckabee |
| (11) |
| 11.5% |
| (±6.4%) |
| Fred Thompson |
| (6) |
| 6.2% |
| (±4.8%) |
| Ron Paul |
| (4) |
| 4.2% |
| (±4.0%) |
| Duncan Hunter |
| (2) |
| 2.1% |
| (±2.9%) |
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