TouchTonePoll.com
One Minute Scientific Polls

Hawaii Democratic Caucus Tracking Poll
Monday, February 18, 2008
First Congressional District
First Response: 2/18/08 9:02 am HST
Last Response: 2/18/08 7:52 pm HST
Number of Responses: 340.
Margin of Error: ±5.3%

Barack Obama  (196)  57.6%  (±5.3%)
Hillary Clinton  (93)  27.4%  (±4.7%)
Undecided  (51)  15.0%  (±3.8%)

Second Congressional District
First Response: 2/18/08 8:58 am HST
Last Response: 2/18/08 7:59 pm HST
Number of Responses: 435.
Margin of Error: ±4.6%

Barack Obama  (264)  60.7%  (±4.6%)
Hillary Clinton  (90)  20.7%  (±3.8%)
Undecided  (81)  18.6%  (±3.7%)


Wednesday, February 13, 2008
First Congressional District
First Response: 2/13/08 8:30 am HST
Last Response: 2/13/08 5:53 pm HST
Number of Responses: 227.
Margin of Error: ±6.5%

Barack Obama  (122)  53.7%  (±6.5%)
Hillary Clinton  (67)  29.5%  (±5.9%)
Undecided  (38)  16.7%  (±4.9%)

Second Congressional District
First Response: 2/13/08 8:30 am HST
Last Response: 2/13/08 5:57 pm HST
Number of Responses: 209.
Margin of Error: ±6.4%

Barack Obama  (137)  65.6%  (±6.4%)
Undecided  (38)  18.2%  (±5.2%)
Hillary Clinton  (34)  16.3%  (±5.0%)


Friday, February 1, 2008
First Response: 2/1/08 9:04 am HST
Last Response: 2/1/08 6:29 pm HST
Number of Responses: 560. Margin of Error: ±4.1%

Barack Obama  (274)  48.9%  (±4.1%)
Undecided  (152)  27.1%  (±3.7%)
Hillary Clinton  (134)  23.9%  (±3.5%)

Hawaii registered voters were chosen randomly and called. Those who answered were asked if they were registered to vote in the state of Hawaii. Those who confirmed were asked if they plan to vote in the Democratic Party's Presidential Preference Poll on February 19th. Those who responded affirmative were asked if they favored Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama or were undecided. Half were asked Clinton first and the other half were asked Obama first. Questions were pre-recorded. Participants answered by touch-tone.

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Note that advances in computer technology have allowed the development of computerized interviewing systems such as TouchTonePoll.com. Automated systems dial the phone, play taped questions to a respondent and then record answers the person gives when touching numbers on the telephone keypad. TouchTonePoll.com uses scientific sampling methods and although our polls are scientific, they may be more vulnerable to problems including uncontrolled selection of respondents within the household, the ability of young children to complete the survey, and poor response rates. TouchTonePoll.com attempts to minimize these effects with pre-screening questions, short surveys and rescheduling contact attempts to improve response rate, however these vulnerabilites can still exist, especially when compared to well run scientific surveys with human poll takers.

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